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Red161
11241.2
173635.1
306162.4
Blue84
544236.7
229031.1
64821.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1659605015020025016184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+67Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +60
21Coral scored#14
76Coral points50
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
124Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
161Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.40.5
62.963.4
Auto17.1
Teleop41.2
End4.1
red by 25.7
36.71.5
38.036.5
Auto6.8
Teleop26.2
End3.7
Second
112
#5
41.20.5
41.842.2
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
red by 10.0
2290
#15
31.11.5
36.735.2
Auto9.7
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Third
1736
#12
35.10.5
38.138.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End-0.1
red by 13.6
648
#19
21.41.5
20.719.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed