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Red150
593442.4
270428.4
465569.7
Blue115
888042.6
203912.5
409640.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16489050150200250150115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+21Teleop
+33Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
36Coral points10
36Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
88Total teleop87
Reef
12L4#5
9L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points0
150Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.1
69.469.4
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 27.1
8880
#11
42.61.0
40.541.5
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
Second
42.40.1
41.741.8
Auto7.7
Teleop24.9
End9.9
red by 2.2
4096
#26
40.21.0
43.044.0
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6
Third
2704
#10
28.40.1
29.829.9
Auto5.3
Teleop22.8
End0.3
red by 15.9
2039
#22
12.51.0
11.112.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed