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Red213
16760.7
219451.2
11186.8
Blue106
414366.9
348829.1
421333.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206149050100250300213106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+93Teleop
+105Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave9
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points21
57Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +66
26Coral scored#16
94Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
140Total teleop74
Reef
13L4#9
12L3#7
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
2Foul points0
213Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
86.81.8
81.983.8
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 19.9
66.92.3
65.663.4
Auto14.6
Teleop46.3
End6.0
Second
167
#17
60.71.8
57.058.8
Auto20.7
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 27.6
4213
#28
33.22.3
40.438.2
Auto8.4
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Third
51.21.8
44.746.5
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
red by 22.1
3488
#24
29.12.3
34.031.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed