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Red100
421333.2
306162.4
409640.2
Blue105
270428.4
46147.4
998817.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166100050150200250100105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +23
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points1
33Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
65Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
100Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.43.6
63.459.7
Auto17.1
Teleop41.2
End4.1
red by 15.0
461
#27
47.40.1
48.448.4
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End4.7
Second
4096
#26
40.23.6
44.040.3
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6
red by 11.8
2704
#10
28.40.1
29.929.8
Auto5.3
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
4213
#28
33.23.6
38.234.5
Auto8.4
Teleop24.0
End0.8
red by 15.5
9988
#14
17.60.1
16.216.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed