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Qual 242025 Rock River Off-Season Competition
Red148
162546.5
888042.6
1043543.1
Blue164
544236.7
11186.8
11241.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138188050100250148164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
24Coral scored#22
88Coral points78
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
116Total teleop122
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#10
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points0
148Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#16
46.50.0
47.2→47.2
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End9.0
blue by 40.3
111
#2
86.80.7
84.6→83.9
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
Second
10435
#3
43.10.0
43.8→43.8
Auto4.2
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 2.0
112
#5
41.20.7
42.2→41.5
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
Third
8880
#11
42.60.0
43.3→43.3
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
red by 5.9
5442
#6
36.70.7
36.5→35.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned