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Red81
51257.4
544236.7
888042.6
Blue55
203912.5
348829.1
998817.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114750501001502008155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
18Foul points0
81Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
#11
42.62.4
42.039.7
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
red by 13.5
3488
#24
29.10.9
39.138.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
Second
36.72.4
39.336.9
Auto6.8
Teleop26.2
End3.7
red by 19.1
9988
#14
17.61.5
18.116.6
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
5125
#25
7.42.4
17.014.7
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 5.1
2039
#22
12.50.9
11.310.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed