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Qual 42025 Rock River Off-Season Competition
Red108
11186.8
409640.2
17116.7
Blue135
1043543.1
173635.1
270428.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18712850100150200250300108135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +39
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
6Processor points12
4Net points28
10Algae points40
65Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points4
108Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
86.83.9
87.3→83.4
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 43.6
10435
#3
43.10.7
42.5→43.2
Auto4.2
Teleop35.8
End3.1
Second
4096
#26
40.23.9
51.6→47.6
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6
red by 5.1
1736
#12
35.10.7
44.4→45.1
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End-0.1
Third
171
#18
16.73.9
22.3→18.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 11.7
2704
#10
28.40.7
33.8→34.4
Auto5.3
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned