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Red87
7117.4
641918.7
593442.4
Blue111
219451.2
306162.4
162546.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8519905010015025030087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
0Processor points6
12Net points24
12Algae points30
58Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
87Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.9
45.244.2
Auto7.7
Teleop24.9
End9.9
blue by 20.0
62.44.1
66.962.8
Auto17.1
Teleop41.2
End4.1
Second
6419
#20
18.70.9
23.822.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 32.5
51.24.1
45.541.4
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
Third
71
#21
17.40.9
23.722.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.4
blue by 29.1
1625
#16
46.54.1
56.852.8
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned