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Red147
64821.4
414366.9
888042.6
Blue22
1739-3.3
421333.2
51257.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15953010020025014722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+111Teleop
+119Endgame
+125Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
3Leave3
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +77
18Coral scored#3
64Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
90Total teleop13
Reef
11L4#1
5L3#0
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +125
6Foul points0
147Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.3
65.966.1
Auto14.6
Teleop46.3
End6.0
red by 33.7
4213
#28
33.22.8
44.441.6
Auto8.4
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Second
8880
#11
42.60.3
39.739.9
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
red by 35.2
5125
#25
7.42.8
14.711.8
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
648
#19
21.40.3
25.625.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 24.7
1739
#23
-3.32.8
0.2-2.6
Auto1.2
Teleop-4.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed