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Red147
998817.6
11186.8
229031.1
Blue135
17116.7
233880.9
203912.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512450100150200250147135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
6Coral scored#7
32Coral points37
38Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
85Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#3
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points4
147Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
86.80.4
83.483.8
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 5.9
2338
#13
80.91.1
83.784.7
Auto24.1
Teleop49.0
End7.9
Second
2290
#15
31.10.4
38.839.1
Auto9.7
Teleop20.6
End0.8
red by 14.5
171
#18
16.71.1
18.419.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Third
9988
#14
17.60.6
16.617.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 5.1
2039
#22
12.51.1
10.411.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned