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Red105
414376.2
843016.9
657427.6
Blue97
306721.1
940161.9
582218.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14898020030040010597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
66Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points4
105Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.22.1
76.374.2
Auto18.9
Teleop50.5
End6.9
red by 14.4
61.90.9
51.150.2
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Second
27.62.1
30.728.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
red by 6.5
3067
#29
21.10.9
25.724.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Third
8430
#22
16.92.1
18.016.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 1.2
5822
#27
18.10.9
17.917.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned