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Red170
175673.7
248195.9
Blue122
421344.1
425627.8
999641.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222640100150200250300350400170122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+58Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
49Coral points32
49Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
117Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#8
12L3#7
5L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
170Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.6
94.794.0
Auto25.6
Teleop61.8
End8.4
red by 51.8
4213
#13
44.12.5
38.140.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Second
73.70.6
71.370.6
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
red by 32.1
9996
#21
41.54.2
19.723.9
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End4.5
Third
9.21.0
13.412.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End-0.8
blue by 18.6
4256
#33
27.82.5
26.128.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned