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Red103
427247.3
442330.5
631741.0
Blue87
409640.5
711711.2
339722.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407005010020025030035040010387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
70Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
103Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.1
39.938.8
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
red by 6.8
4096
#12
40.50.5
40.941.4
Auto12.8
Teleop26.7
End1.0
Second
6317
#10
41.01.1
40.939.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End5.6
red by 18.3
3397
#24
22.70.5
19.019.5
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.0
Third
4423
#30
30.51.1
33.132.0
Auto7.2
Teleop21.4
End1.9
red by 19.3
7117
#34
11.20.5
13.614.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed