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Red203
11173.7
170693.2
162543.1
Blue177
745792.1
17395.0
64820.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264920200300400203177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
27Coral scored#26
96Coral points95
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
126Total teleop129
Reef
12L4#9
10L3#9
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
24Foul points2
203Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.24.0
92.188.1
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
red by 1.1
92.14.0
85.189.1
Auto23.9
Teleop59.0
End9.1
Second
111
#19
73.74.0
83.279.2
Auto12.8
Teleop50.7
End10.2
red by 53.3
648
#20
20.44.0
15.819.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.4
Third
43.14.0
47.243.2
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End10.8
red by 38.1
1739
#31
5.04.0
-3.20.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned