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Red175
319765.3
642125.9
11242.1
Blue136
584769.0
204037.5
359615.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411500100200300400500175136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points27
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points73
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
24Processor points12
28Net points8
52Algae points20
122Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#9
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
175Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#15
65.32.5
58.961.4
Auto13.8
Teleop45.1
End6.4
blue by 3.7
5847
#28
69.00.8
73.072.2
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
112
#17
42.12.5
41.243.7
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
red by 4.5
2040
#23
37.50.8
39.538.8
Auto9.5
Teleop21.7
End6.3
Third
6421
#18
25.92.5
19.722.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.0
red by 10.3
3596
#16
15.70.8
14.013.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned