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Red59
711711.2
544226.7
306721.1
Blue213
339722.7
940161.9
248195.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62199010015025030059213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+44
Teleop+136
Endgame+156
Fouls+154
AutonomousBlue +44
6Leave9
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points41
6Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +92
8Coral scored#30
29Coral points107
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
47Total teleop139
Reef
3L4#13
2L3#8
2L2#11
1L1 · trough#6
12Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +154
2Foul points0
59Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#36
26.71.7
31.930.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End2.6
blue by 69.2
95.92.6
94.096.6
Auto25.6
Teleop61.8
End8.4
Second
3067
#29
21.11.7
24.923.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 40.8
61.92.6
50.252.8
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Third
7117
#34
11.21.7
14.112.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 11.4
3397
#24
22.72.6
19.522.1
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned