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Red191
175673.7
843016.9
745792.1
Blue78
17395.0
178128.8
442330.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21843010015025030035040019178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+89Teleop
+111Endgame
+113Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +89
27Coral scored#11
96Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
142Total teleop53
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#3
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
2Foul points0
191Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.10.4
89.189.5
Auto23.9
Teleop59.0
End9.1
red by 61.5
4423
#30
30.50.8
32.032.8
Auto7.2
Teleop21.4
End1.9
Second
73.70.4
70.671.0
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
red by 44.9
1781
#26
28.80.8
24.024.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End0.5
Third
8430
#22
16.90.4
16.016.3
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 11.9
1739
#31
5.00.8
0.81.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed