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Red137
427247.3
999641.5
811627.6
Blue84
642125.9
64820.4
204037.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909140608010012014013784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+45Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
91Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
137Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.33.4
38.842.3
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
red by 9.8
2040
#23
37.50.2
38.839.0
Auto9.5
Teleop21.7
End6.3
Second
9996
#21
41.55.7
23.929.6
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End4.5
red by 15.6
6421
#18
25.90.2
22.222.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.0
Third
8116
#11
27.63.4
22.826.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.1
End4.6
red by 7.2
648
#20
20.40.2
19.820.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned