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Red147
409640.5
359615.7
170693.2
Blue98
582218.1
908228.3
425627.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1827405010015020025030014798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points51
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
99Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
12Foul points0
147Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.21.5
88.186.6
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
red by 64.9
9082
#25
28.30.7
28.929.6
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End1.4
Second
4096
#12
40.51.5
41.439.9
Auto12.8
Teleop26.7
End1.0
red by 12.7
4256
#33
27.80.7
28.629.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End3.8
Third
3596
#16
15.71.5
13.211.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
blue by 2.4
5822
#27
18.10.7
17.017.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed