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Red110
657427.6
173633.5
11173.7
Blue148
584769.0
421344.1
11242.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160176100120140200220110148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+44
Endgame+34
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave3
5Coral scored#8
25Coral points41
25Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points58
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
59Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points4
110Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#19
73.72.0
79.277.2
Auto12.8
Teleop50.7
End10.2
red by 4.7
5847
#28
69.00.8
72.271.4
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
1736
#14
33.52.0
32.630.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
blue by 10.6
4213
#13
44.10.8
40.639.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Third
27.62.0
28.626.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
blue by 14.5
112
#17
42.10.8
43.742.9
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned