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Red102
631741.0
306150.8
Blue194
319765.3
162543.1
414376.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95211050150250300350400102194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+60
Endgame+92
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +53
15Coral scored#25
55Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
75Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#10
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
0Foul points0
102Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#35
50.80.4
44.444.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4
blue by 25.4
76.21.0
74.275.2
Auto18.9
Teleop50.5
End6.9
Second
6317
#10
41.00.4
39.840.2
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End5.6
blue by 24.3
3197
#15
65.31.0
61.462.4
Auto13.8
Teleop45.1
End6.4
Third
9.20.6
12.413.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End-0.8
blue by 33.9
43.11.0
43.244.2
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned