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Red92
843016.9
339722.7
421344.1
Blue173
170693.2
642125.9
811627.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7316605010015020025030092173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+69
Endgame+63
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +51
14Coral scored#26
52Coral points93
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
70Total teleop121
Reef
6L4#16
6L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#38
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points18
92Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
44.10.6
39.840.4
Auto12.6
Teleop29.5
End2.0
blue by 49.1
93.20.9
86.687.5
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
Second
3397
#24
22.70.6
22.122.7
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.0
blue by 5.0
8116
#11
27.60.9
26.327.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.1
End4.6
Third
8430
#22
16.90.6
16.316.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 9.1
6421
#18
25.90.9
22.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned