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Red88
582218.1
306150.8
64820.4
Blue83
584769.0
442330.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861390501002002508883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
65Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
88Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#35
50.80.4
44.845.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4
blue by 18.2
5847
#28
69.02.3
71.469.1
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
648
#20
20.40.4
20.020.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.4
blue by 10.1
4423
#30
30.52.3
32.830.5
Auto7.2
Teleop21.4
End1.9
Third
5822
#27
18.10.4
17.718.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
red by 8.9
9.23.8
13.09.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed