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Red222
414376.2
409640.5
175673.7
Blue99
544226.7
11173.7
11242.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041675010015025030022299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+95Teleop
+105Endgame
+123Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave0
10Coral scored#2
51Coral points12
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
26Coral scored#14
95Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
127Total teleop71
Reef
15L4#7
8L3#4
7L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +123
18Foul points0
222Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.21.2
75.276.4
Auto18.9
Teleop50.5
End6.9
red by 2.6
111
#19
73.73.4
77.273.8
Auto12.8
Teleop50.7
End10.2
Second
73.71.2
71.072.2
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
red by 31.6
112
#17
42.13.4
42.939.4
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
Third
4096
#12
40.51.2
39.941.1
Auto12.8
Teleop26.7
End1.0
red by 13.8
5442
#36
26.73.4
30.126.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned