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Red173
248195.9
162543.1
657427.6
Blue131
359615.7
427247.3
178128.8
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21579050100150250300350173131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
+16Teleop
+46Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave0
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
28Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +32
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
109Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#11
9L3#5
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#29
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points4
173Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.6
96.696.1
Auto25.6
Teleop61.8
End8.4
red by 48.6
47.32.4
42.344.7
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
43.10.6
44.243.7
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End10.8
red by 14.3
1781
#26
28.82.4
24.927.3
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End0.5
Third
27.60.6
26.626.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
red by 11.9
3596
#16
15.72.4
11.714.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed