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Red145
908228.3
421344.1
940161.9
Blue92
162543.1
442330.5
64820.4
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118120608010014016014592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+63Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
6Processor points6
32Net points16
38Algae points22
103Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#3
7L3#4
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
145Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.91.3
51.853.1
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
red by 18.8
43.10.7
46.545.8
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End10.8
Second
4213
#13
44.11.3
34.435.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.5
End2.0
red by 13.6
4423
#30
30.50.7
36.635.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.4
End1.9
Third
9082
#25
28.31.3
34.035.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End1.4
red by 7.9
648
#20
20.40.7
14.113.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned