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Red162
306721.1
584769.0
319765.3
Blue209
427247.3
170693.2
175673.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1542450100200300400162209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +20
27Coral scored#25
97Coral points89
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
6Processor points18
16Net points32
22Algae points50
119Total teleop139
Reef
12L4#14
12L3#10
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
162Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#28
69.00.1
71.971.8
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End3.0
blue by 24.2
93.21.4
97.996.5
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
Second
3197
#15
65.30.1
56.956.8
Auto13.8
Teleop45.1
End6.4
blue by 8.4
73.71.4
74.773.3
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
Third
3067
#29
21.10.1
20.920.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 26.2
47.31.4
43.241.8
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned