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Red119
584769.0
425627.8
17395.0
Blue185
999641.5
306721.1
414376.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911950100150200119185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+46
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +42
19Coral scored#22
68Coral points80
1Processor algae#6
4Net algae#4
6Processor points36
16Net points16
22Algae points52
90Total teleop132
Reef
6L4#11
8L3#9
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
119Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#28
69.01.2
71.873.0
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End3.0
blue by 7.2
76.24.9
71.476.3
Auto18.9
Teleop50.5
End6.9
Second
4256
#33
27.81.2
24.926.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End3.8
blue by 13.7
9996
#21
41.58.2
11.519.7
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End4.5
Third
1739
#31
5.01.2
-4.4-3.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 16.1
3067
#29
21.14.9
20.825.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned