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Red136
427247.3
339722.7
11173.7
Blue37
908228.3
843016.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18268010030040050013637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+75Teleop
+85Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points13
29Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +59
18Coral scored#4
65Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
79Total teleop20
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
14Foul points0
136Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#19
73.71.9
85.183.2
Auto12.8
Teleop50.7
End10.2
red by 45.4
9082
#25
28.32.6
35.232.6
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End1.4
Second
47.31.9
41.839.9
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
red by 30.4
8430
#22
16.92.6
20.718.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Third
3397
#24
22.71.9
21.019.0
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.0
red by 13.5
9.24.4
17.813.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed