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Red138
204037.5
170693.2
306150.8
Blue140
940161.9
175673.7
657427.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141700100300400500600138140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points20
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +20
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points86
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
88Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#6
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
138Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.24.4
96.592.1
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
red by 19.5
73.72.0
73.371.3
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
Second
3061
#35
50.84.4
52.548.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4
blue by 11.0
61.92.0
53.151.1
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Third
2040
#23
37.54.4
44.039.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.7
End6.3
red by 10.0
27.62.0
32.730.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsMissed