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Red168
319765.3
178128.8
175673.7
Blue239
170693.2
940161.9
306150.8
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17522350100150200250300350400168239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+36
Teleop+55
Endgame+65
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +36
0Leave9
4Coral scored#10
22Coral points49
22Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +19
23Coral scored#33
82Coral points119
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
24Processor points18
24Net points12
48Algae points30
130Total teleop149
Reef
8L4#14
8L3#14
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
37Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points6
168Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.70.0
73.773.7
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
blue by 19.5
93.20.8
90.991.7
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
Second
3197
#15
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto13.8
Teleop45.1
End6.4
red by 3.4
61.90.8
59.660.3
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Third
1781
#26
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End0.5
blue by 22.1
3061
#35
50.80.8
48.549.3
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4