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Red193
248195.9
908228.3
414376.2
Blue227
170693.2
940161.9
306150.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214219180200240260280193227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+2
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave0
9Coral scored#12
47Coral points58
56Total auto58
Teleoperatedlevel
24Coral scored#29
85Coral points103
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
131Total teleop131
Reef
12L4#20
7L3#10
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points2
193Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.2
96.195.9
Auto25.6
Teleop61.8
End8.4
red by 2.7
93.20.5
91.792.2
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
Second
76.20.2
76.476.2
Auto18.9
Teleop50.5
End6.9
red by 14.4
61.90.5
60.360.9
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Third
9082
#25
28.30.2
28.428.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End1.4
blue by 22.6
3061
#35
50.80.5
49.349.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4