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Red272
170693.2
940161.9
306150.8
Blue131
173633.5
359615.7
657427.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23969050100150200300350400272131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+121Teleop
+141Endgame
+141Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave9
11Coral scored#3
56Coral points14
65Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +79
29Coral scored#15
103Coral points54
6Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
36Processor points18
32Net points20
68Algae points38
171Total teleop92
Reef
22L4#4
9L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
54Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +141
0Foul points0
272Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.21.5
87.589.0
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
red by 59.7
1736
#14
33.50.9
32.032.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Second
61.91.5
56.257.7
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
red by 34.3
27.60.9
26.026.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
Third
3061
#35
50.81.5
45.146.6
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4
red by 35.2
3596
#16
15.70.9
14.115.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4