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Red175
319765.3
178128.8
175673.7
Blue127
162543.1
631741.0
409640.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213450100150200250175127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+56Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
24Coral scored#14
88Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
126Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#6
10L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
175Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.70.3
72.272.5
Auto8.7
Teleop55.9
End9.1
red by 30.6
43.10.0
43.743.7
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End10.8
Second
3197
#15
65.30.3
63.864.1
Auto13.8
Teleop45.1
End6.4
red by 24.3
6317
#10
41.00.0
41.641.6
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End5.6
Third
1781
#26
28.80.3
27.327.5
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End0.5
blue by 11.7
4096
#12
40.50.0
41.141.1
Auto12.8
Teleop26.7
End1.0