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Red213
745792.1
999641.5
421344.1
Blue138
11242.1
642125.9
427247.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175112050150200250300213138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+91Teleop
+81Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +77
33Coral scored#14
117Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
147Total teleop70
Reef
15L4#7
14L3#7
4L2#2
7L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +75
6Foul points12
213Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.11.0
88.389.3
Auto23.9
Teleop59.0
End9.1
red by 44.8
47.30.4
44.745.1
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
4213
#13
44.11.0
40.441.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.5
End2.0
red by 2.1
112
#17
42.10.4
39.439.9
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
Third
9996
#21
41.51.6
35.336.9
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End4.5
red by 15.6
6421
#18
25.90.4
23.323.7
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.0