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Red212
11173.7
811627.6
584769.0
Blue127
173633.5
359615.7
657427.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21175050100150250300350212127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+83Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points16
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +70
32Coral scored#19
115Coral points67
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
24Processor points18
28Net points12
52Algae points30
167Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#12
17L3#4
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
212Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#19
73.70.5
73.874.2
Auto12.8
Teleop50.7
End10.2
red by 40.2
1736
#14
33.50.6
32.933.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Second
5847
#28
69.00.5
69.169.6
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End3.0
red by 41.5
27.60.6
26.927.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
Third
8116
#11
27.60.5
27.227.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.1
End4.6
red by 12.0
3596
#16
15.70.6
15.015.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4