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Red108
162543.1
631741.0
409640.5
Blue176
11242.1
642125.9
427247.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142117050100200250300108176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+46
Endgame+66
Fouls+68
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#18
33Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
53Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points8
108Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.6
43.743.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End10.8
blue by 4.2
47.31.3
45.146.3
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
6317
#10
41.00.6
41.641.0
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End5.6
blue by 1.0
112
#17
42.11.3
39.941.1
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
Third
4096
#12
40.50.6
41.140.5
Auto12.8
Teleop26.7
End1.0
red by 14.5
6421
#18
25.91.3
23.725.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.0