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Red207
248195.9
908228.3
414376.2
Blue206
170693.2
940161.9
306150.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214215160180200240260207206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave3
9Coral scored#8
47Coral points41
56Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +17
23Coral scored#27
81Coral points96
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
24Processor points30
24Net points20
48Algae points50
129Total teleop146
Reef
10L4#15
10L3#9
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points0
207Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.0
96.196.1
Auto25.6
Teleop61.8
End8.4
red by 2.7
93.20.3
89.089.3
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
Second
76.20.0
76.476.4
Auto18.9
Teleop50.5
End6.9
red by 14.4
61.90.3
57.758.0
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Third
9082
#25
28.30.0
28.428.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End1.4
blue by 22.6
3061
#35
50.80.3
46.646.9
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4