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Red37
174719.4
540234.5
1002132.8
Blue77
809611.2
719.2
23446.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153910502002503003777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
37Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#16
34.56.3
50.043.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.8
End5.1
blue by 11.6
234
#17
46.10.7
50.349.5
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Second
32.86.3
43.236.9
Auto7.2
Teleop22.9
End2.7
red by 21.6
8096
#22
11.20.7
20.419.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End0.3
Third
1747
#25
19.46.3
38.231.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End5.8
red by 10.2
71
#27
9.20.7
17.416.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed