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Red59
348722.8
15551.8
164624.9
Blue88
355910.5
518824.7
29236.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031100501502002505988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#7
27Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
37Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points12
59Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#29
24.92.4
35.132.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End0.9
blue by 11.2
292
#9
36.11.7
41.239.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
3487
#23
22.82.4
41.439.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 1.9
5188
#10
24.71.7
39.437.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
1555
#32
1.82.4
15.613.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.1
End1.2
blue by 8.7
3559
#28
10.51.7
17.616.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned