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Red174
394061.0
317637.4
86878.6
Blue21
14417.9
695625.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25472010020030040017421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+125Teleop
+137Endgame
+153Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +102
24Coral scored#2
88Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
114Total teleop12
Reef
8L4#1
10L3#0
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
35Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +153
18Foul points2
174Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.64.4
85.280.9
Auto19.5
Teleop48.0
End11.1
red by 53.5
6956
#20
25.14.6
35.130.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Second
3940
#15
61.04.4
79.074.6
Auto12.4
Teleop40.8
End7.8
red by 43.1
144
#30
17.94.6
30.425.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
37.44.4
51.647.2
Auto4.0
Teleop26.7
End6.8
red by 33.6
3.84.6
16.612.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed