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Red106
492635.5
317637.4
101821.4
Blue31
174142.3
15551.8
174719.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113105020030040050060010631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+75Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +59
11Coral scored#1
38Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
6Processor points0
20Net points0
26Algae points0
64Total teleop5
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
10Foul points6
106Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
44.243.7
Auto4.0
Teleop26.7
End6.8
blue by 4.8
1741
#12
42.34.4
50.946.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End2.2
Second
35.50.5
34.734.2
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 16.1
1747
#25
19.44.4
30.325.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End5.8
Third
1018
#19
21.40.5
24.924.4
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End5.3
red by 19.5
1555
#32
1.84.4
10.46.0
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed