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Red50
809611.2
14417.9
518824.7
Blue77
46130.2
765724.6
4542.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641510501002002503005077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
33Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
50Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#10
24.71.3
33.231.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 18.1
45
#4
42.83.3
53.950.6
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Second
144
#30
17.91.3
21.219.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 12.4
461
#21
30.23.3
37.534.2
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End1.2
Third
8096
#22
11.21.3
15.013.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End0.3
blue by 13.4
7657
#26
24.63.3
35.031.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed