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Red180
23446.1
745786.4
695625.1
Blue171
150164.1
44728.6
349460.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173175130140150160180190200180171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points40
37Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +8
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
117Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#13
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
180Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.41.6
84.085.6
Auto24.4
Teleop52.8
End9.2
red by 22.3
1501
#14
64.10.8
70.671.4
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
Second
234
#17
46.11.6
46.748.3
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
blue by 14.5
3494
#11
60.60.8
62.263.0
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Third
6956
#20
25.11.6
25.026.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
blue by 3.5
447
#3
28.60.8
25.826.6
Auto7.1
Teleop16.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned