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Red28
427243.2
164624.9
Blue43
82934.5
174719.4
348722.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171110501001502002843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#1
11Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
15Total teleop9
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
28Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#31
43.24.6
54.850.2
Auto12.0
Teleop25.8
End5.4
red by 8.8
829
#18
34.54.0
41.637.6
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Second
1646
#29
24.94.6
30.325.8
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End0.9
red by 2.1
3487
#23
22.84.0
29.725.6
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Third
3.84.6
11.67.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 15.6
1747
#25
19.44.0
25.821.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned