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Red95
317637.4
29236.1
46130.2
Blue69
1002132.8
101821.4
874221.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132820501001502002503009569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+28Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
52Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
4Foul points6
95Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.7
43.742.0
Auto4.0
Teleop26.7
End6.8
red by 4.6
32.81.2
35.934.7
Auto7.2
Teleop22.9
End2.7
Second
292
#9
36.11.7
38.636.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
red by 14.5
8742
#24
21.61.2
20.919.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
Third
461
#21
30.21.7
34.232.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End1.2
red by 8.9
1018
#19
21.41.2
24.423.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed