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Red83
15551.8
349460.6
765724.6
Blue84
4542.8
150164.1
501040.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011880501502503008384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
52Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
83Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#11
60.61.2
63.061.8
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
blue by 3.5
1501
#14
64.15.3
71.466.1
Auto18.6
Teleop39.6
End5.9
Second
7657
#26
24.61.2
31.730.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 18.3
45
#4
42.85.3
50.645.4
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Third
1555
#32
1.81.2
6.04.8
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.1
End1.2
blue by 39.0
40.85.3
40.735.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed