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Red196
349460.6
501040.8
745786.4
Blue81
174719.4
29236.1
14417.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21164010015025030035019681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+115Teleop
+115Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
6Leave9
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points4
54Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +74
21Coral scored#9
76Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
118Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#2
7L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points0
196Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.40.9
85.686.5
Auto24.4
Teleop52.8
End9.2
red by 50.4
292
#9
36.10.2
36.937.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
3494
#11
60.60.9
61.862.7
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 41.2
1747
#25
19.40.2
21.822.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End5.8
Third
40.80.9
35.536.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
red by 23.0
144
#30
17.90.2
19.920.1
Auto1.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned