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Red98
86878.6
695625.1
809611.2
Blue88
492635.5
23446.1
355910.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147980502002503009888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
58Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
98Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.61.6
82.380.7
Auto19.5
Teleop48.0
End11.1
red by 32.5
234
#17
46.10.4
48.347.9
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Second
6956
#20
25.11.6
26.725.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
blue by 10.5
35.50.4
34.233.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Third
8096
#22
11.21.6
13.712.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End0.3
red by 0.6
3559
#28
10.50.4
12.211.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed