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Red85
23446.1
82934.5
14417.9
Blue34
719.2
427243.2
15551.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119700501001502008534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
62Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
85Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#17
46.12.1
47.945.8
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
red by 2.9
4272
#31
43.22.6
50.247.6
Auto12.0
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
829
#18
34.52.1
37.635.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
red by 25.3
71
#27
9.22.6
12.19.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Third
144
#30
17.92.1
20.118.0
Auto1.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
red by 16.0
1555
#32
1.82.6
4.82.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed